Hiring Planning
Definition
Hiring Planning is the process of determining when and how many sales hires you need to meet capacity targets, accounting for ramp time, attrition, and revenue goals.
Why It Matters
- Forward-looking: Plan hiring 6-12 months ahead to account for ramp
- Avoid surprises: Anticipate capacity gaps before they become crises
- Budget alignment: Justify headcount requests with capacity math
- Timeline clarity: Know exactly when hires need to start work
The Hiring Planning Formula
Basic Capacity Gap Formula
Hiring Need (RRE) = Target Capacity - Current Capacity - Pipeline Capacity + Expected Attrition
Where:
- Target Capacity: Revenue goal / Expected attainment %
- Current Capacity: Sum of existing team quotas (ramp-adjusted)
- Pipeline Capacity: Hires already in process (with ramp adjustment)
- Expected Attrition: Anticipated departures (capacity-weighted)
Worked Example: North America East Q1 2026 Planning
Context: End of Q4 2025, planning for Q1 2026
Step 1: Set Target Capacity
Q1 2026 Revenue Goal: $3.0M
Expected Team Attainment: 85%
Target Capacity Needed: $3.0M / 85% = $3.53M
Step 2: Calculate Current Capacity
End of Q4 2025 Capacity:
- 10 fully ramped reps × $350K = $3.5M
- 3 ramping reps × $200K (avg 57%) = $0.6M
- 1 backfill (Month 2) × $88K (25%) = $0.088M
Total Current: $4.19M
Step 3: Adjust for Pipeline
Hires Already in Process:
- 1 offer accepted, starts Jan 15 (Month 1 of Q1)
Q1 capacity contribution: $350K × 25% (avg Q1 ramp) = $88K
Pipeline Capacity: $0.088M
Step 4: Forecast Attrition
Historical Q1 Attrition: 3 people (avg capacity: $1.2M)
Q1 2026 Expected Attrition: $1.2M
But: If departures happen mid-quarter, partial capacity remains
Assume 2 months of capacity before departure: $1.2M × (2/3) = $0.8M retained
Net Loss: $1.2M - $0.8M = $0.4M
Step 5: Calculate Hiring Need
Target Capacity: $3.53M
Current Capacity: $4.19M
Pipeline Capacity: +$0.088M
Expected Net Loss: -$0.4M
Net Capacity at End Q1: $4.19M + $0.088M - $0.4M = $3.88M
Gap to Target: $3.88M - $3.53M = +$0.35M (SURPLUS)
Hiring Need for Q1: 0 additional hires needed
(Already over target, even with expected attrition)
Step 6: Look Ahead to Q2 2026
Q2 Revenue Goal: $3.5M
Target Capacity: $3.5M / 85% = $4.12M
Starting Q2 Capacity: $3.88M (from Q1 ending)
Gap to Target: $4.12M - $3.88M = $0.24M
If Q2 attrition = $1.2M:
Total Need: $0.24M + $1.2M = $1.44M
Hiring Need: $1.44M / $350K = 4.1 ≈ 5 hires
BUT: Ramp matters!
If hired in Q2, average Q2 capacity contribution = 25% = $88K
5 hires × $88K = $0.44M (not enough to cover $1.44M need)
Need to hire EARLIER (in Q1) to have ramped capacity by Q2
Accounting for Ramp Time
The Ramp-Adjusted Hiring Formula
Hires Needed = Capacity Gap / (Quota × Average Ramp % in Period)
Example:
Capacity Gap: $1.5M
Quota per Rep: $350K
Target Period: Q2
If hiring in Q2:
Average Q2 Ramp: 25% (Month 1-3 average)
Hires Needed: $1.5M / ($350K × 25%) = 17 hires (unrealistic!)
If hiring in Q1:
Average Q2 Ramp: 75% (Month 4-6 average)
Hires Needed: $1.5M / ($350K × 75%) = 5.7 ≈ 6 hires (feasible)
Takeaway: Hire 1-2 quarters BEFORE you need the capacity
Hiring Timeline Backwards Planning
Step-by-Step Timeline
Goal: 5 fully ramped reps by Q4 2026
Work backwards:
| Event | Timeline | Date |
|---|---|---|
| Need full capacity | Q4 2026 | Oct 1, 2026 |
| Must start | 6 months prior | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Offer accepted | 2 weeks before start | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Offer extended | 1 week before acceptance | Mar 8, 2026 |
| Final interview | 2 weeks before offer | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Phone screen | 3 weeks before final | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Job posted | 4 weeks before screen | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Req approved | 2 weeks before posting | Dec 21, 2025 |
Total lead time: 9-10 months from approval to full capacity
Common Hiring Planning Scenarios
Scenario 1: Hypergrowth (50%+ YoY)
Challenge: Need massive hiring ramp
Example:
Current Capacity: $10M
Target Capacity (next year): $15M
Growth Need: $5M
Attrition (15%): $1.5M
Total Hiring Need: $6.5M / $350K = 18.6 ≈ 19 hires
Hiring by Quarter:
Q1: 5 hires (to ramp for Q3-Q4)
Q2: 6 hires (to ramp for Q4 + Q1 next year)
Q3: 4 hires (to ramp for Q2 next year)
Q4: 4 hires (to ramp for Q3 next year)
Key: Front-load hiring to account for ramp lag
Scenario 2: Steady State (10-20% YoY)
Challenge: Maintain capacity despite attrition
Example:
Current Capacity: $10M
Target Capacity (next year): $12M
Growth Need: $2M
Attrition (12%): $1.2M
Total Hiring Need: $3.2M / $350K = 9.1 ≈ 9 hires
Hiring Strategy: 2-3 hires per quarter (evergreen recruiting)
Scenario 3: Restructuring (Flat/Negative Growth)
Challenge: Optimize team composition
Example:
Current Capacity: $10M
Target Capacity: $10M (flat)
Attrition: $1.2M
Backfill Need: 3-4 hires
But: Selective backfilling
- Don't backfill bottom performers (20% of attrition)
- Upgrade roles (hire Enterprise AE instead of Mid-Market)
Best Practices
1. Build 6-Month Rolling Hiring Plans
Update monthly:
Month 1: Review actual attrition vs forecast
Month 2: Adjust hiring needs based on actuals
Month 3: Update ramp assumptions based on cohort performance
2. Pre-Approve Backfill Budget
Traditional process:
Employee quits → Wait for approval (2 weeks) → Start recruiting
Time to hire: 8-10 weeks
Pre-approved process:
Employee quits → Start recruiting same day
Time to hire: 6-8 weeks
Saves: 2-4 weeks per hire
3. Maintain Evergreen Pipeline
Reactive hiring:
Need 5 hires → Post jobs → Source → Screen → Offer
Total: 8 weeks × 5 hires = 40 weeks of effort
Evergreen hiring:
Always recruiting → Warm pipeline ready → Offer within 3 weeks
Total: 3 weeks × 5 hires = 15 weeks of effort
Saves: 25 weeks (62% faster)
4. Segment Hiring by Role
Not all roles are equal:
| Role | Ramp Time | Time to Hire | Lead Time Needed |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDR | 3 months | 4-6 weeks | 5 months |
| Mid-Market AE | 4 months | 6-8 weeks | 6 months |
| Enterprise AE | 6 months | 8-12 weeks | 9 months |
| Manager | 6 months | 10-16 weeks | 10 months |
Plan each role separately
5. Account for Seasonal Attrition
Example attrition patterns:
Q1: 15% of annual attrition (post-holiday departures)
Q2: 25% (spring job market)
Q3: 20% (summer)
Q4: 40% (year-end/vesting)
If annual attrition = 12 people:
Q1: 2 departures
Q2: 3 departures
Q3: 2 departures
Q4: 5 departures
Plan Q4 backfills to start in Q3 (ramp for Q1 capacity)
6. Use Capacity Waterfalls
Visualize capacity flows:
Beginning Capacity: $10.0M
├─ Attrition: -$1.2M
├─ LOA: -$0.3M
├─ Existing ramp progression: +$0.5M
├─ New hires (Q1 starts): +$0.2M
└─ Ending Capacity: $9.2M
Gap to Target ($12M): -$2.8M
Hiring Need: 8 more hires (with ramp adjustment)
Common Pitfalls
1. Ignoring Ramp Time
Mistake:
Need $1.5M more capacity in Q2
Hire 4 people in Q2 ($1.4M annual capacity)
Assume: "We're covered!"
Reality:
4 hires in Q2 @ 25% average ramp = $350K Q2 capacity
Still short $1.15M
Fix: Hire 1-2 quarters ahead
2. Linear Hiring for Exponential Growth
Mistake:
Need to grow 50% this year
Hire 50% more people evenly across the year
Reality:
Q1 hires won't ramp until Q3-Q4
Q4 hires won't contribute until next year
Capacity lags growth plan by 6+ months
Fix: Front-load hiring in H1 for H2 capacity
3. Not Planning for Attrition
Mistake:
Current: $10M
Target: $12M
Hire: $2M capacity (6 people)
Reality:
Attrition: $1.2M
Net gain: $2M - $1.2M = $0.8M
Ending capacity: $10.8M (missed target)
Fix: Hire for growth + attrition replacement
4. Assuming 100% Offer Acceptance
Mistake:
Need 5 hires, make 5 offers
Reality:
Offer acceptance rate: 70%
Actual hires: 3.5 (need 2 more offers)
Delays: 4-6 weeks
Fix: Plan for 70-80% acceptance, have backup candidates
Related Terms
- Capacity Planning - Quarterly capacity planning process
- Backfill Planning - Replacing departed employees
- Ramp Curves - New hire productivity timelines
- Gap to Target - Capacity shortfall calculation
- Time to Backfill - Hiring speed metric
References
- Standard practice in sales capacity planning
- Requires collaboration: Sales Ops, Recruiting, Finance, Sales Leadership
- Revisit monthly with updated actuals